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Quote: similarity, ease of recall, and starting values are good heuristics for subjective probabilities, but people miss sample size and prior probability

topics > all references > references t-z > QuoteRef: tverA2_1974 , p. 157



Topic:
probability assessment

Quotation Skeleton

Although these heuristics [for subjective probabilities] sometimes lead to biases, … What is perhaps surprising is the failure of … probability or the effect of sample size on … The failure to develop valid statistical intuition is … conducive to the learning of statistical rules. Although … in text) we rarely compare the statistical properties … People just do not think about texts in …   Google-1   Google-2

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Additional Titles

Quote: people fail to learn about the effects of sample size and prior probability because most events are not evaluated statistically

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Topic: probability assessment (26 items)

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